Notice lots of ensemble members from this morning's ECMWF model show rain around next Tuesday/Wednesday. Expect wind gusts 35-50 mph east metro and 60-80 mph in the west end of the Gorge Wednesday-Friday. The 2017-18 winter, the second consecutive La Niña winter, brought warmer and drier than normal weather to Western Oregon, according to Mark Nelson, meteorologist at … Lots of fun! Right now the ECMWF seems reasonable showing the stronger 2nd "event" late Tuesday night. Only Wednesday and late Friday/Saturday are reasonably cool. Much weaker low would mean just light southerly breezes. For the region as a whole it's been a very wet start this month. Several weather folks having a jovial conversation...what could be better? View the profiles of professionals named "Mark Nelsen" on LinkedIn. That's it for now, I'm out of time this evening. Mark Nelsen works in the industry of Television Stations, Broadcasting, Media & Internet. The long Thanksgiving weekend is coming to a close this evening. That's it for this evening, I'll be back on TV at 10pm. Just this past week the four of us (Brian MacMillan, Jeff Forgeron, Anne Campolongo, & I) discussed La Niña so far, Vista House wind, Solar Eclipses, & holiday plans for the weather center. Of course plenty falls along the beaches and in the valleys too, but not as much. Possibly some sort of ice/snow transition around Christmas or beyond IN THE GORGE if that cold east wind is still blowing...maybe. No, not necessarily. 1.50-2.50" in valleys and 3-6" in mountains. Too soon to know, but I'll be watching that closely. It's almost here, although a much changed version from any other year...very quiet for obvious pandemic reasons. This might be enough to produce minor river flooding on the usual suspect north coastal rivers: Wilson, Nehalem, Trask, & Willapa. We've been busy the past few days (and this evening) implementing a graphics change. High pressure pops up east of the Cascades behind tomorrow's system. Much less active weather today compared to yesterday That said, it was on the chilly side with highs struggling to reach the mid 30s, but feeling like the midupper 20s at times with a breezy NW wind With mainly clear skies, temperatures are expected to drop to around 20 by daybreak on Monday Bundle up Watches issued ahead of weekend coastal storm 2021 2020 Facebook gives people the power to share and makes the world more open and connected. Not enough for flooding, but the ground is saturated. KGAN chief meteorologist Terry Swails looks at computer monitors showing a rainstorm moving into eastern Iowa at KGAN studio on Oct. 4. Now it's quiet except for dense fog in the Willamette Valley and strong easterly wind blowing in the Gorge. Swails, who has been a meteorologist for 41 years, has some reservations about discussing climate change in his weather forecasts because of "controversy" surrounding the topic. 26K likes. There are pretty clear signals on all models that some sort of significant pattern change may arrive in the January 20th-24th timeframe. Profiles With a Similar Job Title And Industry, Profiles With a Similar Job Title And Location. Precipitation the past month looks like a classic La Nina winter setup; a wetter than average northwestern USA, but very dry Southwest. Astoria around 5" in just four days! His research focuses on closed ecological system research, ecological engineering, restoration of damaged ecosystems, and wastewater recycling. In the central/eastern Gorge, you experienced the much desired "White Christmas". Join Facebook to connect with Mark Nelson and others you may know. Or at least warmer than average. December has been very mild and a bit drier than average. Arctic blast arrives right about now (Dec. 14th). It appears weather action will be picking up again over the next week; these 12 Days of Christmas will be turning quite wet! Hood over the next week. Ozark city leaders are working to fix problems they feel have hurt them from recruiting and retaining employees, it has to do with the city’s retirement system. You can see a bit of that precipitation gap in the ECMWF ensemble forecast, Notice temperatures cool off a bit on the ensembles too. That's not to say we couldn't have something happen like what Puget Sound saw last week. 2016- Crazy and wild ride. Strong wind overhead and copious moisture supply combines to create an "atmospheric river" aimed at the mouth of the Columbia River Sunday morning. Nobody knows as of now. Portland is running near to a little below normal for rain this month. Maybe similar to the last one 2017-2018? Some fog and freezing fog in spots too. You can see this current year isn't a very good fit for any the last 10 La Nina winters. A good chunk of the region has been drier than average over the last two months; somewhat unexpected in a La Niña winter. More of the same for at least the next 10-15 days. Mark Nelsen’s peers at other companies are Jason Nicholas, Kristen Van Dyke, Mark Scirto, Keith Monahan, Tom Coomes. It has been WETTER than average across much of the PACNW, more so the farther north and west you go. It's interesting that the 2.5km (very high resolution) HDRPS model (Canadian) brings plenty of snow to the central/eastern Gorge. Since the flow is not coming directly west-east, it's possible we get a bit more rain into the valleys than we sometimes see. Very consistent westerly flow = mild. Check out the snow level forecast. A mid-winter Pacific jet stream will be ushering a series of wet weather systems into the PACNW starting tomorrow. But if you want snow? FOX 12 Weather Blog. Each model is slightly different of course, but you get the idea...somewhere between 2-4" in the western valleys and 5-8" in the mountains! Wow, just no sign of snow/cold on any of the 51 members. That's about what we need for lowland snow in onshore flow. Based on the quality and frequency of confirmatory data points, this metric represents the likelihood that a contact is employed where we say they are and that it is possible to reach them via email, Own your online presence by claiming your ZoomInfo profile, Mark Nelsen Mark Nelsen Mark Nelsen , FOX 12 's Chief Meteorologist, has lived most of his life within a two-hour drive of Portland. A man and his grandfather were ambushed in Whiteville after responding to a Craigslist ad. You probably already know what that means for a lowland snow chance...essentially near zero through the first half of January, possibly all the way to around the 20th. 8 days from now the ridge is still there, although weakening quite a bit. A wet weather system moves inland Christmas Day. That should happen tomorrow night and again late Tuesday night. It’s the big FOX 12 Weather 2020 year in review! Two of those days the fog & low clouds just wouldn't go away. I see an "atmospheric river" headed our way tomorrow through Wednesday. In general we seem to be headed toward slightly colder systems after Sunday as upper-level heights lower next week. For all we know we've got crazy wild weather action coming in January or February! Then at 10pm you see the surge of south wind and tight pressure gradient in the valley. Keep a close eye on it of course that could change, but it 'll be making quite. Work tomorrow evening through the Gorge Wednesday-Friday was 2000-2001 chart from the ECMWF model 20-40... Flooding or an especially stormy pattern for the KPTV team over at kptv.com me. Only one sea-level gap through the 10th, Portland is running near average December in... 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